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Tuesday, January 2, 2018

AWARDS SEASON 2018 BEST PICTURE
"Get Out" And "The Post" Have The Jump On Oscar




The cast of "Get Out" (top photo), directed by Jordan Peele; Meryl Streep in Steven Spielberg's "The Post". 
Universal, Fox
       

by
Omar P.L. Moore/PopcornReel.com        Follow popcornreel on Twitter FOLLOW                                           
Tuesday, January 2, 2018

"Dunkirk".  "The Shape Of Water".  "Lady Bird".  "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri".  "Mudbound".  "The Florida Project".  Each of these films are expected or at the very least likely to be Best Picture nominees when the Academy announces its finalists three weeks from today.  But the real fight for Best Picture come the March ceremony will be between "Get Out" and "The Post", films with weighty social relevance.

Jordan Peele's horror-thriller and social commentary on white liberal racists and Black identity has not fatigued at all since its theatrical release last February 24 in the U.S. and Canada.  "Get Out", shot in under 32 days for roughly $6 million, has achieved blockbuster status with its phenomenal success and burnished the social consciousness.  "Get Out" has a lot of sentiment going for it, including from William Friedkin, the director of the legendary "The Exorcist", and others.  "Get Out" is unique, compelling, thought-provoking and well-acted and directed.

Steven Spielberg's "The Post" has just announced itself to the world.  Currently in exclusive runs in New York City and Los Angeles before opening on January 12 everywhere, "The Post" chronicles The Washington Post and its involvement with The Pentagon Papers during the 1970s.  "The Post" is about the primacy of the press and the First Amendment holding government accountable for wrongdoing -- a matter of the public interest and informing them.  A lot of other issues percolate in "The Post" and the recent news stories of sexual harassment in the media may or may not dovetail with this drama's look at the lone woman owner of a newspaper in a man's world.  "The Post" is riveting.

Both films are critical favorites, particularly "Get Out".  Academy members however, do not generally look at critical sentiment when voting.  The power is in their owns hands. When the voting period ends in the next few days it is fair to say that both films will be high on their ballots -- marked early and often.

I think for the Academy Best Picture comes down to scope and dimension, and although "Get Out" has depth and detail it may be a film the mostly older white male Academy is uncomfortable with voting for.  The film's indictment, or rather exposure, of liberal white racists may be something that (may) hit older white male Academy voters too close to home.  Who knows?  How often does The Academy vote for horror films as Best Picture?  Not too often.  On the other hand, maybe this is the year that changes.

"The Post" is very likely to win Best Picture because of its political statements and its stature as a story of big guys against the little guys.  The Academy likes political statements in films -- it just depends on which statements and by whom.  The upside for "The Post" is that it has a well-appreciated director, an even more appreciated set of actors in Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks, as well as great ensemble performances (as does "Get Out".)  Many of the Academy members lived through The Pentagon Papers affair, which also helps "The Post", as does Academy members' love for Ms. Streep. 

Unless I see otherwise (look for the Producers' Guild Awards in the next few weeks) it's "The Post" as the Best Picture winner.  I can't see any other film going home with an Oscar for Best Picture.

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